14 December 2006. NZ SmokeLess e-News 1:13   ph 03 3288 688 or 0274 884 375

PRINTABLE VERSION: www.endsmoking.org.nz/enews14Dec06.pdf

Media release

Census: Smoking prevalence down; fewer taking it up

Top-line Census data shows regular cigarette smoking prevalence has fallen from 23.7% in 1996, to 20.7% in 2006, a fall of 3 percentage points. Adults who say they are former smokers remain stationary at 22%, and the proportion who never smoked has risen 3 percentage points, from 54 to 57 percent of adults age 15 and over.

 

Previous surveys show fewer young people are smoking, and continued smoking in adults is now the problem, according to Dr Murray Laugesen, chair of SmokeLess New Zealand. This in turn was due to availability of cheap hand-rolled cigarettes on the one hand versus lack of effective smokefree nicotine and tobacco alternatives on sale.

 

Thousands of smokers are quitting, but are churning between quitting and relapsing, with no change nationally in the proportion of successful former smokers in the population.

 

A main reason for this churn in the past 10 years is the availability of cheap hand-rolled cigarettes (four for a dollar). A smoker on average wages can earn a day’s supply of these cigarettes in 15 minutes. Alternatives are more expensive: nicotine gum and patch do not satisfy many smokers, and most smokers have not tried oral snuff, which is not on sale in New Zealand.

 

The Smokefree Environments Act needed to be made into a strong public health law to end the lung cancer epidemic, and provide a plan for phasing out of cigarette sales, said Dr Laugesen. Programme funding was correctly focused on helping older addicted smokers, but needed to be backed up by tax and drug policies custom-designed to wean smokers off cigarettes:

 

First, align tobacco tax rates in line with the death risks, Dr Laugesen said, to encourage quitting or safer choices. Today ten dollars buys only 20 manufactured cigarettes, but a smoker can roll 40 hand-rolled cigarettes for the same price. Both types of cigarette were just as addictive and dangerous. Hand-rolled cigarettes were currently cheaper than nicotine gum or snuff, and naturally, smokers were switching to hand rolled instead of giving up smoking.

 

Secondly, provide less harmful addiction choices for smokers, Dr Laugesen said.  As nicotine addicts, and smoking kills, smokers needed to be able to quit tobacco in one or two stages, first stage, stop smoking and lower the risk; and stage two (optional), to switch to safer smokefree nicotine or tobacco for as long as needed.

 

Nicotine gum or patch is a safe first-line drug, and higher doses were now becoming accepted as best practice. A second-line drug choice is to personally import Swedish snuff, which without the smoke, has five percent of the risk of smoking, does not cause mouth cancer, and fully satisfies the need for nicotine. A law change was needed to permit import of oral Swedish snuff for sale to addicted smokers, Dr Laugesen said.

 

The fall in the percentage smoking has slowed from 0.6 percentage points per year after the 1981 Census to 0.3 percentage points per year over the past ten years.

 

At the 1996-2006 rate it could take another 70 years until smoking is finally extinguished, Dr Laugesen said. Up to 4000 deaths a year could be saved by stubbing out faster.

Table 1 Cigarette Smoking Behaviour for the Census Usually Resident Population Count, Aged 15 Years and Over, 2006

 

Census 2006

Regular smoker

597 792

Ex-smoker

637 293

Never smoked regularly

1 653 924

Response unidentifiable

106 347

Not stated

165 015

Total population age 15+

3 160 371

www statistics.govt.nz New Zealanders were asked, “Do you smoke cigarettes regularly” (of one or more per day), and whether they had been a regular smoker of one or more cigarettes a day.

 

Table 2 Cigarette smoking prevalence, total estimated smokers, age 15 years and over 1976-2006

 

1976

1981

1996

2006

*Smokers  %

35.54

32.0

23.7

20.7

Ex-smokers %

16.6

18.8

22.0

22.1

Never-smokers

47.8

49.2

54.2

57.2

**Smokers, number

784,000

735,000

660,000

654,000

Change in % smoking, annual

- 0.7 % points

- 0.6 % points

 

- 0.3% points

Change in ex-smokers, annual

+0.4 % points

+0.21 % points

0.01 % points

Change In never smokers, annual

+0.3 % points

+0.3 % points

+0.3 % points

*The percentage who currently smoke is based on the usable responses in Table 1.

** applying Smokers % to Total population in Census.

 

For more information, contact Dr Laugesen ph 03  388688  0274 884 375  chair@endsmoking.org.nz

 

 Dr Murray Laugesen QSO chair; Prof Ross McCormick, Sir John Scott KBE, Trish Fraser MPH, Dr Marewa Glover, Trustees

Making it easier to quit smoking for good © 2009 End Smoking NZ